{"id":4439,"date":"2023-01-01T03:43:00","date_gmt":"2023-01-01T03:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/?p=4439"},"modified":"2023-01-01T03:43:00","modified_gmt":"2023-01-01T03:43:00","slug":"we-dont-need-more-computers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/2023\/01\/we-dont-need-more-computers\/","title":{"rendered":"We don&rsquo;t need more computers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the news: <\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tomshardware.com\/news\/sales-of-desktop-graphics-cards-hit-20-year-low\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Desktop GPU Sales Hit 20-Year Low<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tomshardware.com\/news\/amd-intel-nvidia-slash-orders-to-tsmc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AMD, Intel, and Nvidia reportedly slash orders with TSMC<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We maxed out, I keep <a href=\"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/2022\/10\/economic-growth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">telling people<\/a>. We have enough computers already. We have enough processing power. How do I know this? I know most desktops CPUs and GPUs idle most of the time. Which is why companies don\u2019t buy brand new computers as much anymore, which is why we\u2019re seeing those headlines.<\/p>\n<p>(Let\u2019s not forget that around 200-300M computers\/year have been sold since 2000. It had to slow down.)<\/p>\n<p>From early 2010s and on, processing power has been bigger than our needs. It is a fact that all nerds out there don\u2019t want to spread, but it is so true. Check this out with Nvidia:<\/p>\n<p>They released their latest GPU a couple months ago. 76.3B transistors in 6cm\u00b2, if you know numbers, you know this is an utterly insane achievement. It moves a fucking TB <em>per second<\/em> in memory bandwidth, it\u2019s plain gross. <\/p>\n<p>Well, what is the usage for this behemoth of the latest hi-tech possible? There\u2019s none, really. You can do amazing architecture with way less expensive GPUs. Games run just fine with older cards. Even more telling: this RTX card is so fast and so bored, it has the time to <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Deep_learning_super_sampling#DLSS_3.0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">create frames between frames<\/a>. LMAO. What a waste of time and energy: 450W to wait for a CPU to feed it.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s a massive disconnect between our real human needs and tech. We maxed out. Another example:<\/p>\n<p>A show with good visual quality, good sound subtitles etc, is about 3GB. It will be playable and look fine from your phone to a projector. It is still 3GB. It will always will be 3GB.<\/p>\n<p>You download it over 4G. It takes about a hour. Is a hour long? No. A day is at least many hours. You transfer it to a device, it takes 5mn. Is 5mn long? No. It\u2019s a human timeframe that we use all the time to do little things. So while the movie transfers, you go do a bit of dishes or cuddle with your boo.<\/p>\n<p>My point is have 16K movies on 6G instantly viewable has the most diminishing returns ever: no one will ever care about waiting a little bit, as this is how it is. Sometimes in life, we wait. It is fine.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore the ultimate goal of tech to do it faster, has been reached. I\u2019m going around my laptops with TB drives, giggling at how much fucking space that is. 99% of the world uses computers with files in the order of KB or MB.<\/p>\n<p>So yeah we won\u2019t ever need 128-core at 18GHz CPUs, I\u2019m afraid.<\/p>\n<p>The opportunity here is to use the computers we have <em>much<\/em> better.<\/p>\n<p>Remember: climate change means consuming less and smarter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the news: Desktop GPU Sales Hit 20-Year Low. AMD, Intel, and Nvidia reportedly slash orders with TSMC. We maxed out, I keep telling people. We have enough computers already. We have enough processing power. How do I know this? I know most desktops CPUs and GPUs idle most of the time. Which is why [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[3],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4439"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4439"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4439\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4440,"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4439\/revisions\/4440"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4439"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4439"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/har0ld.com\/playground\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}