Comment that I see all the time since ChatGPT came out, and every single time that it does something that we thought would happen in 5+ years, not now (this is about the latest o3 release):
From IT bubble it’s very easy to have impression that AI will replace most people. Most of people on my street do not work in IT. Teacher, nurse, hobby shop owner, construction workers, etc. Surely programming and other virtual work may become less paid job but it’s not end of the world.
Everything is connected in this world! I can’t believe people don’t see it.
Construction worker: yeah, we can 3D print now and tons of tools are power tools and robots, increasingly, which means probably a reduction of construction workers by a lot in the next 20 years. You could say “well, buildings are going to be made more and more in factory, we’ll need drivers!”. You already know what’s going on with that.
Hobby shop owner: this person is already down bad in 2024 without AI! He’s not thriving, he’s doing OK. He might want to move to a web front, AI assistants and robots in a warehouse, saving him from renting a very expensive place in a less and less populated downtown.
Nurse: they’re actively leaving! Covid broke them. AI assistants and robots, just like for constructions workers, are going to mean that we need less of them. Note the important thing: there will still be a need for nurses, of course, but a lot less.
Teacher: They’re fighting for their lives right now! AI, smartphones and the internet have completely, absolutely changed their careers. School is more than ever about socializing than having a teacher teach you things. Tech has so massively and rapidly changed education that we do not know what the fuck we’re doing, at all. What’s a GPA in the world of perfect, 24/7 slaves with all the knowledge in the world? Nothing.
This wasn’t true five years ago.
Everyone is impacted by AI because AI impacts everything and everything is inter-connected.
What that means is the same productivity we have today, with 1/10th of its labor force. Capitalism will never ever give up on that. It’s a wrap.
Demand Universal Income. It’s urgent now.